TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Purdue wins by over 5.5 points
- Kalshi
Purdue wins by over 5.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:14h:48m
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This set of markets tracks the potential outcomes of a college football game between Maryland and Purdue, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that could be achieved by either team in the contest. The resolution depends entirely on the official game result and its point differential.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Maryland vs Purdue college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For markets where Purdue is specified, resolution occurs if Purdue wins by exceeding the stated point margin; for markets where Maryland is specified, resolution occurs if Maryland wins by exceeding the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they settle equitably rather than strictly on the stated outcomes. These rules apply uniformly across all specified point differential thresholds for both teams.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi, potentially creating a difference. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Maryland vs Purdue game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Purdue will win by a certain margin, the higher the price of contracts reflecting that outcome will climb. Conversely, if traders favor Maryland, contracts representing a Maryland cover will increase in value. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Maryland vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final point spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Maryland or Purdue teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks could all shift trader sentiment on Kalshi. Unexpected announcements about player availability or team dynamics in the days leading up to the game are also likely to cause fluctuations in the market for the Maryland vs Purdue spread.