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OPEN INTEREST:
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417,059
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 10, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are caught by players during a college football game between Maryland and Ohio State. The outcomes depend on whether specific teams reach certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns. The rules clarify what counts toward these totals and how game delays affect resolution.
If Ohio St. records 3+ receiving touchdowns in the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ohio St. records 4+ receiving touchdowns in the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ohio St. records 5+ receiving touchdowns in the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maryland records 2+ receiving touchdowns in the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maryland records 3+ receiving touchdowns in the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their personal analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on power rankings and expert opinions, this market can quickly incorporate new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, leading to potential discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of expectations. Currently, the contracts are priced based on supply and demand, with buyers driving up the price when they believe an outcome is more likely and sellers lowering it when they anticipate a lower probability. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which teams score touchdowns during the Maryland vs Ohio State game. Official game statistics will be used to determine which teams successfully reached the endzone. The outcome will be determined by reviewing the official game results, ensuring accuracy and transparency. This process guarantees a fair and objective resolution based on the actual events of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, as the absence of a star quarterback or running back could drastically alter scoring expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the likelihood of touchdowns. Additionally, any significant news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi could indicate a change in sentiment and lead to price movements.