TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the margin of victory for Ohio State in their upcoming college football game against Maryland. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how convincingly Ohio State might win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If Ohio St. wins by exceeding the specified point margin for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game’s outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds tend to adjust rapidly, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment than sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches, as different participants weigh information differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Maryland vs Ohio State game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that spread occurring. Buyers are expressing a belief that the spread is *more* likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it is *less* likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and traders’ evolving perspectives on the game’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Maryland vs Ohio State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the real-world result of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Maryland or Ohio State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also influence trading activity. Significant news related to team morale, coaching changes, or even unexpected developments in the broader college football landscape could also move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately determined by trader actions on Kalshi.