TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if Maryland or Ohio State achieves a defensive or special teams touchdown during their scheduled college football matchup. Such scores, typically rare, would count toward resolving the market regardless of when they occur in regulation or overtime periods.
If Maryland and Ohio St. collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks set odds based on their models and risk management, while this market's price is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, and as traders react to news and analysis surrounding the Maryland vs Ohio State game. This can sometimes lead to opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive/special teams touchdown in the Maryland vs Ohio State game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing belief in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of those participating. This creates a real-time probability assessment of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams unit scores a touchdown during the Maryland vs Ohio State game. The result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual occurrence (or non-occurrence) of a D/ST touchdown, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on their predictions.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in coaching strategy regarding defensive or special teams play-calling. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly those impacting passing or kicking games, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding the performance of either team's offense – a particularly strong or weak showing in a prior game – could impact the perceived likelihood of a defensive/special teams touchdown being scored in the Maryland vs Ohio State game.