TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Maryland and Ohio State. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of that quarter, with varying thresholds for different markets.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of the Maryland vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes.' If Ohio State wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin, the corresponding 'Ohio St. wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Maryland wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin, the relevant 'Maryland wins by over X points' market resolves to 'Yes.' If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No.' Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of the overall game outcome and focus solely on third-quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable, as prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and may offer a more accurate forecast than a single sportsbook’s assessment of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Buyers believe the spread is more likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it’s less likely. This dynamic interaction between buyers and sellers determines the market price, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions. The current volume of $40,315 indicates the level of activity in this particular market.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Maryland vs Ohio State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual spread at the end of the third quarter. The final price of this market will reflect the collective prediction of all traders leading up to the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Maryland or Ohio State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for either team’s playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to adjust their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.