TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Maryland and Ohio State score together in the second quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the combined score will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the Maryland vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points; if the combined second-quarter score exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Postponements are permitted if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, in which case the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, as they benefit from the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for understanding where the broader public sentiment lies regarding this event, and how this market diverges from that view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Maryland vs Ohio State 2nd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a forward-looking indicator of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second quarter of the Maryland vs Ohio State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the second quarter will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the final score range will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any relevant news that could impact the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Maryland or Ohio State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first quarter – such as a dominant offensive showing by one team – could influence trader sentiment and drive price adjustments. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also play a role in how this market evolves.