TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in a specific quarter of a college football game between Maryland and Ohio State. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team could win during that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Maryland vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the designated team wins the quarter by exceeding the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the postponement. The outcome hinges exclusively on second-quarter performance, with no consideration given to the full game's result or other quarters.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with, or even anticipating, movements in traditional sportsbook odds. However, there can be discrepancies. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to directly bet against each other. This difference can sometimes lead to more favorable odds on Kalshi compared to those found at sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's important to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be in favor of Maryland, the price for those contracts will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Maryland vs Ohio State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The final score will be the determining factor in establishing the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Maryland or Ohio State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market up until Oct 10, 2026.