TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much Ohio State or Maryland win by in the second half of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the exact margin of victory in the latter half of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's second-half point differential exceeds the market's threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. It’s common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or shifts in public perception, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely second-half spread between Maryland and Ohio State. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half spread of the Maryland vs Ohio State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. No further action is required from participants once the event concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Maryland or Ohio State would likely cause movement, as would updates on team strategies or weather conditions. Significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news concerning coaching decisions or unexpected lineup changes could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations regarding the second-half performance of both teams.