TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different scoring thresholds for Ohio State and Maryland in the first half of their college football game. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded by a team, determines the market outcome.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the first half of the Maryland vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of each other, each tied to a specific scoring benchmark for either Ohio State or Maryland.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of an outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market is mispricing the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means it costs $60 to buy a contract that pays out $100 if the outcome happens. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their analysis, leading to a dynamic price that reflects the collective expectation. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in the price.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half team total for each team will be used to determine whether the contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the governing body of the game. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts were settled in their favor shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Maryland or Ohio State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical models, could lead to traders adjusting their positions and altering the price.