TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game, offering various thresholds for how much one team might outscore the other before halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Maryland vs Ohio St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if Ohio St. wins by more than the stated margin, or if Maryland wins by more than the stated margin depending on the market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. However, sportsbook odds and this market can converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply variations in market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of the spread, and you can see how this has changed over time on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing body of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the first-half spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Maryland or Ohio State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in influencing the market’s direction.