TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Maryland and Nebraska. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Maryland vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—count towards the resolution. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts for the respective team’s market. Should neither team score a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, the 'No team' market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, it proceeds normally; otherwise, the market resolves to a fair price. The event explicitly states no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant number of people believe a particular team is more likely to score first, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially exceeding sportsbook offerings. However, as kickoff approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and both markets incorporate new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Maryland or Nebraska scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of the perceived likelihood of each team taking an early lead. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, illustrating the level of interest in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Maryland vs Nebraska football game. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts associated with this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Maryland or Nebraska would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor a particular team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news surrounding team morale or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market leading up to game time.