TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Maryland and Nebraska will score together in the final quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the range of points that will be scored in that specific segment of the match.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the Maryland vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be high, the price of contracts predicting a higher total will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Maryland vs Nebraska 4th quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams in the fourth quarter will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Maryland or Nebraska would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, and any adjustments to team strategies, could lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 3, 2026.