TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing specifically on the point differential achieved in the last 15 minutes of regulation time. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which the winning team must exceed the loser in that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter of regulation play in the Maryland vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value in either this market or sportsbook offerings, depending on their assessment of the probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fourth quarter spread of the Maryland versus Nebraska football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could impact trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a key turnover or a dominant performance by one team, would also likely cause substantial movement. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market represents independent views rather than simply mirroring those opinions.