TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks where Marvin Harrison Jr. will play professional football next before November 12, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives a 98.0% probability to Harrison joining the Houston team. The market resolves based on whether Harrison’s next team is the Buffalo Pro Football team before the resolution date, as determined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the NFL Draft in April 2025, as that will likely provide a strong signal regarding Harrison’s initial team selection and significantly impact market outcomes.
The market resolves based on whether Marvin Harrison Jr. signs with a specific team before November 12, 2026. If he officially retires or remains unsigned by that date, the "Retires / No Team" outcome wins. Staying with his original team or becoming a free agent and signing with any team (including his previous one) also triggers resolution for the respective team markets. Contract extensions or re-signings with the same team do not trigger early resolution. All transactions must be officially reported by the governing league or announced by Harrison through a source agency to be valid for market resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by public betting biases or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market reflects what traders are willing to pay to own a piece of a potential outcome. As the draft nears, you might see convergence between the two, especially if significant news breaks or expert analysis aligns with the market’s assessment. However, discrepancies can persist, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each team being selected as Marvin Harrison Jr.’s next team. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a team is likely to draft him, the price will increase, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, if traders think a team is unlikely, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, providing a probabilistic forecast of the draft outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome determined by the team that drafts Marvin Harrison Jr. in the NFL draft. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official NFL sources and major sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100 for the team that selects him, and 0 for all other teams. Trading will cease once the draft outcome is officially announced, and the final settlement will reflect the actual team chosen, as reported by reliable sources.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding team needs at wide receiver, potential trades involving draft picks, and any public statements from Marvin Harrison Jr. himself or team personnel could all shift the odds. Pre-draft workouts and interviews, along with reports from credible NFL analysts, will also play a role. Unexpected developments, such as a team’s coaching staff changes or a major injury to a key player, could also cause fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the probabilities evolve leading up to the draft.