TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Marushchak Vitalii S. and Hrabskyi Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marushchak Vitalii S.' if Marushchak Vitalii S. wins against Hrabskyi Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Hrabskyi Andrii' if Hrabskyi Andrii wins against Marushchak Vitalii S.. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Marushchak Vitalii S. and Hrabskyi Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 5 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marushchak Vitalii S.' if Marushchak Vitalii S. wins against Hrabskyi Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Hrabskyi Andrii' if Hrabskyi Andrii wins against Marushchak Vitalii S.. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical analysis and expert opinion, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of individual traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the larger sample size of participants in the prediction market. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marushchak vs. Hrabskyi match, as determined by the governing sports organization. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. The specific details of the match result will be used to settle this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or performance in recent matches would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s odds.