TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether the upcoming CONCACAF Nations League match between Martinique and El Salvador will see more than a specified number of goals scored within regular time.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Martinique vs El Salvador professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) for each respective market. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a profit margin, while this market’s pricing is driven by actual traders buying and selling contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will rise in this market. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available and public opinion solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the total goals will be a certain number or more) and 'no' contracts (believing it will be lower). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of different goal totals in the Martinique vs El Salvador match. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Martinique vs El Salvador match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer body for the match. Any goals scored during regular play or added time will be counted towards the total, but penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final score will determine which contracts pay out and which expire worthless.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Martinique or El Salvador would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly affect the style of play, could also impact the market. Additionally, pre-match analysis from soccer experts, team formations, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.