TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Martinique and El Salvador, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Martinique vs. El Salvador match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Martinique and El Salvador, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Martinique vs. El Salvador match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information that isn't fully priced into the sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the market perceives an edge, or where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time estimate of the collective prediction. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system, unlike fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Martinique vs. El Salvador match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning share(s) in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or player form could also have a significant impact. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or news coverage, might also cause movement. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's pricing and inform your trading decisions.