TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a competitive match between two national teams in an international soccer tournament. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular period of play, including any added stoppage time. This match is part of a broader league that determines team progress and rankings.
If Martinique and El Salvador both score a goal in the Martinique vs El Salvador CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or team news more quickly, while this market tends to converge on a more accurate probability as more information and trading activity occur. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it could suggest disagreement between the two. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Martinique vs El Salvador match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own prices, and the market adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven entirely by participant expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Martinique and El Salvador score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions at resolution. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Martinique or El Salvador would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of both teams scoring will impact trading and price discovery.