TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Martinique vs El Salvador professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 44.0% on Kalshi, while “Martinique wins” is at 39.0%. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Martinique vs El Salvador professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026. Keep an eye on the Concacaf Nations League schedule as the October 5, 2026 date approaches, as that is when the game—and this market—will be decided.
If Martinique wins the Martinique vs El Salvador professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If El Salvador wins the Martinique vs El Salvador professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Martinique vs El Salvador professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular result, they can trade on Kalshi to capitalize on that perceived mispricing. This dynamic can lead to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn’t fixed but constantly adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the various possibilities.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Martinique vs El Salvador match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment and move the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators could sway opinions and drive trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for anyone looking to make informed trading decisions.