TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point spread outcome between Marshall and Old Dominion in their college football game. Each market represents a different margin of victory threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Marshall vs Old Dominion college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For markets predicting Marshall wins by specific margins, resolution occurs if Marshall's victory exceeds the stated point differential. Conversely, markets predicting Old Dominion wins resolve if Old Dominion's victory exceeds the specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the likely result. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, with prediction markets potentially incorporating unique data or reacting more quickly to news. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those offered by major sportsbooks, as both aim to accurately represent the probability of each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Marshall will cover the spread against Old Dominion. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's expected result. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation, and provides insight into how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Marshall vs Old Dominion game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key injuries to starting players on either Marshall or Old Dominion would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any substantial betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market fluctuations.