TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Marshall or Old Dominion in the first half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the first half to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Marshall vs Old Dominion college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins by more than the stated point differential in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds outlined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed betting, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting and carries its own inherent biases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Marshall will win by more or less than the spread. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the implied probability of the event happening, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of Marshall covering the spread. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Marshall vs Old Dominion game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports organization. The market will determine whether Marshall wins by more than the specified spread, or not, based on the official game statistics. Traders holding the winning contracts will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Marshall or Old Dominion would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, will also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.