TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for one team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of James Madison and Marshall in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, as this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives than a single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, the total points scored in the Marshall vs James Madison game being over or under a certain number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Marshall vs James Madison game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total combined points scored by both teams during the official game. The platform will use publicly available sources to determine the final score and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Marshall or James Madison would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might sway traders’ opinions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could contribute to shifts in the market price as traders react to new information.