TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:47 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Marshall vs. James Madison.
Exact margin markets for Marshall vs. James Madison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different possible point differentials in the Marshall vs. James Madison game. The price of each share reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price becomes, indicating increased confidence in that result. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and incorrect predictions result in losses. This dynamic process leads to a constantly evolving price that represents the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point differential of the Marshall vs. James Madison game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions once the outcome is officially determined and reported. The platform will verify the result against established data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price action in this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Marshall or James Madison teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks or changes in public perception of each team's chances could create momentum in this market. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of different point differentials have the potential to move the market.