TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Marshall and James Madison. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams in the first half, determines the outcome of that specific market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Marshall vs James Madison college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined first-half score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered upon.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors including public betting patterns and expert analysis, often incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, creating a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge as new information becomes available, and it’s common to see prediction markets accurately forecast outcomes based on the aggregated insights of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half total points scored in the Marshall vs James Madison game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect whether the actual total points scored were over or under the relevant threshold, determining payouts for traders who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Marshall or James Madison would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.