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$154.6b

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$333,432,169

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2,984,640,614

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$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Marshall vs. James Madison
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Marshall vs. James Madison?

Volume:
$743,985

James Madison

 - Kalshi

James Madison - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 7:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

James Madison

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155,229
N/A
N/A
$104,414
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -18.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -10.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -23.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 235

Intro

This market tracks the total 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Marshall versus James Madison college football game. Currently, the consensus probability favors Marshall vs. James Madison: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 at 100.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final 4th down conversion count will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Multiple spread and total markets exist with varying thresholds, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Carefully compare the specific spread or total being offered on each platform before trading. Consider the potential for arbitrage opportunities but be aware of the increased complexity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a wide range of spread and over/under markets with varying thresholds. Resolution is based on the final game score. If the game ends in a tie, the win/loss market resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Offers a basic win/loss market. If the game ends in a tie, the win/loss market resolves 50-50. No spread or total markets are available.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Marshall and James Madison, scheduled for October 3 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Marshall" if Marshall win the game. This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Marshall vs James Madison college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If James Madison wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Marshall wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Marshall and James Madison, scheduled for October 3 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Marshall" if Marshall win the game. This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks typically offer tighter spreads and higher liquidity, particularly closer to the event. The current volume on this market is $743,985, indicating growing interest.