TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (W)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Marshall vs. Massachusetts?

Total volume:
$4,941
Volume 24h:
$4,204
6,006,172%
Liquidity:
$2
100%
Open interest:
$3,766
412%

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (W)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (W)

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (W)

Trade
98%
59%
Yes 100¢No 80¢
80¢
$2
$102
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

UMass

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,957
N/A
N/A
$1,102
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 50¢No 90¢
Avg: 80¢Max: 80¢
kalshi

Marshall

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,882
N/A
N/A
$2,664
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Marshall and Massachusetts. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game scheduled for November 2nd, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is overly broad, resolving 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket follows a standard win/loss resolution with a cancellation clause.Hero tip: Be cautious of Kalshi's market, as it essentially bets on the game happening and having a winner. Polymarket offers a more traditional betting experience, but includes cancellation risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on which team wins the game. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. Source: https://www.ncaa.com
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either UMass or Marshall wins the game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. Source: Kalshi market description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Marshall Thundering Herd and Massachusetts Minutemen on November 2 at 6:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official winner of the Marshall vs UMass women's college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Marshall vs. UMass football game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $4,941, with $4,204 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the likely result, as traders on each platform place bets reflecting their predictions. The dashboard displays a combined view of the probabilities, offering insights into how the market is interpreting information about the teams and the game. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional odds.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information more efficiently and potentially offering more accurate probabilities. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, aggregating diverse opinions. However, sportsbooks typically have higher liquidity and wider availability, and may offer different types of wagers not found in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official final score of the Marshall vs. UMass football game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market’s resolution, with payouts distributed accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result, based on the actual event outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 2, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Marshall or UMass football teams would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes or significant shifts in team performance during the season could also influence trading activity. News regarding weather conditions expected on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also move the market. Finally, any major upsets in other college football games that affect the overall perception of team strength could indirectly impact this market.