TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Marseille vs Toulouse: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Marseille vs Toulouse?

Volume:
$48,856

Marseille wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:47 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,370
N/A
N/A
$12,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,908
N/A
N/A
$9,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
$1,616
Settled
No
kalshi

Marseille wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,428
N/A
N/A
$1,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Toulouse wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Marseille and Toulouse, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds define whether the market resolves positively for each potential outcome.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various winning margins in the Marseille vs Toulouse Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Resolution occurs if Marseille wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Toulouse wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, all assessed after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The event categorizes success based on these differential thresholds, providing multiple pathways for market resolution depending on the extent of either team's victory.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Marseille vs Toulouse match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, providing insight into where the crowd currently believes the spread will land. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded on this market, currently at $48,755, and the 24-hour volume, which is $48,531. This allows you to gauge the level of interest and activity surrounding this particular event.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more accurately represent the true probabilities of outcomes, especially as new information becomes available. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as traders react to news, injuries, or other factors influencing the Marseille vs Toulouse match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Marseille will win by more than 2.5 goals, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Marseille vs Toulouse match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted source for football statistics, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all traders. The platform will verify the result against these sources to finalize the market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Marseille or Toulouse would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available regarding the Marseille vs Toulouse match.