TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Olympiacos will win the Europa League soccer match against Marseille. Currently, Kalshi gives Olympiacos a 62.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 27.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match as determined by the official result of the Marseille vs Olympiacos professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced prior to the match on October 15, 2026, as they may indicate each team’s intended approach to the game.
The event resolves based on the result of the Marseille vs Olympiacos professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Marseille wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties), the 'Marseille' market resolves to Yes. If Olympiacos wins under the same conditions, the 'Olympiacos' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regular time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds based on liability, while Kalshi odds are driven purely by supply and demand among traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the market might be mispricing the probability of different outcomes in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marseille vs Olympiacos match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-game announcements about tactical approaches could also cause movement. Major upsets in other related matches or broader football news might indirectly affect the perceived probabilities. Monitoring sports news and social media for relevant updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.