TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Marseille and Le Havre. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Marseille vs Le Havre professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, counted after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or public perception. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new developments related to team form, injuries, or tactical changes become known. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the event’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily prices can move.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result—the total number of goals scored in the Marseille vs Le Havre match—will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive payouts accordingly after the event concludes and the result is verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Marseille or Le Havre would likely cause price movements. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or updates on team form and recent performance, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even late-breaking news about referee assignments, might also lead to shifts in the market. A significant change in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also move the odds.