TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals. The outcomes depend solely on the final score of the game, with specific rules for postponements.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by Marist and Stetson in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 31.5 to 71.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of the threshold. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, maintaining consistency in resolution methodology.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines to attract balanced action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds, particularly when there’s disagreement between the crowd and the sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets move differently than sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts regarding the teams involved. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored in the Marist-Stetson game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the total points being *below* that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively aggregating their collective forecast. A higher price indicates greater confidence that the total points will be lower, while a lower price suggests the opposite. The current price reflects the market's best estimate of this probability.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Marist-Stetson game, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority, will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the combined score of both teams at the conclusion of the game, and all contracts will be paid out accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the relationship between the final score and the contract price will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries for either Marist or Stetson would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in coaching strategies or team performance. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially affecting scoring. Public perception shifts, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team dynamics or game logistics could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.