TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game between Marist and Stetson. Each outcome represents a different threshold by which Marist or Stetson must win for the market to settle positively. The contests reflect betting interest in precise score margins rather than simply which team wins.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Marist vs Stetson college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Marist wins by exceeding the specified point threshold, relevant 'Marist wins by over X points' markets settle as Yes; if Stetson wins by exceeding its threshold, those markets settle as Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time. If the game does not begin within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. Comparing these odds can offer insights into where the market finds value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Marist vs Stetson game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely move as new information becomes available and uncertainty decreases. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, representing a real-time assessment of the game’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Marist vs Stetson game, specifically the actual point spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Marist or Stetson teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all shift trader sentiment on Kalshi. Unexpected announcements about player availability or team performance could also lead to price fluctuations as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information available before the game.