TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. The resolution depends entirely on the final score difference, with multiple thresholds available for betting. All markets are independent and resolve based on the official game result.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the Marist vs Drake college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For markets where Drake wins by a specified margin or more, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Drake's victory exceeds that threshold. Conversely, markets where Marist wins by a specified margin resolve to 'Yes' if Marist's win meets or exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently for each market based on available information and betting activity up to that point. The markets are not officially connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows individuals to trade on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered elsewhere. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, such as injuries or weather reports, which can influence the perceived probability of different outcomes. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal differing expectations about the game’s result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Marist vs Drake game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic representation of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final point differential.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Marist vs Drake game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on the official game results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Marist or Drake would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also impact predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also contribute to shifts in the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – large volume trades – could indicate informed opinions and move the price of contracts. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities within this market.