TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Marist Red Foxes vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks (W)
Volume:
$824
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Marist Red Foxes and Saint Peter's Peacocks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both a Saint Peter's win and a Marist win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-predictive. Polymarket's binary logic is sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The platform has failed to specify mutually exclusive resolution outcomes for a binary sports event. Polymarket provides the only resolvable market for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Marist win resolves to Marist Red Foxes, Saint Peter's win resolves to Saint Peter's Peacocks. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Critical logical failure: Both Saint Peter's win and Marist win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible scenario where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes, rendering it unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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