TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:01h:24m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Marist and Bryant, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Marist Red Foxes and Bryant Bulldogs, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Marist vs Bryant women's college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating new information and reflecting true probabilities. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bet types than are available in this market. The current volume on this market is $97.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Marist Red Foxes vs. Bryant Bulldogs (W) at 50.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Bryant wins at 69.0%. Different user bases on each platform may interpret information differently, leading to differing opinions on the likely winner of the Marist vs. Bryant game. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $97—can influence price discovery and create temporary discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Marist vs. Bryant game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for the official result, as this will be the basis for settling all outstanding positions.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Marist or Bryant teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a venue change or a rule modification, could also shift the probabilities. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.