TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Maringa and Ferroviaria, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Maringa vs Ferroviaria professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Maringa or Ferroviaria occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to specialized knowledge, prediction markets can sometimes outperform them as more information becomes available and is incorporated into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome of the Maringa vs Ferroviaria match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Maringa vs Ferroviaria match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, specifically the winner after regulation time. A draw will be considered a separate outcome. The platform will then verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Maringa or Ferroviaria could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns, will also impact the price. Finally, any significant in-match events, such as early red cards or penalties, could cause rapid price adjustments.