TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Slovenian Prva Liga between Maribor and NK Celje. The market focuses on determining whether either team secures a win within regular time, or if the game concludes with a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Maribor vs NK Celje professional Slovenian Prva Liga soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Maribor resolves the 'Maribor' market to Yes; a win for NK Celje resolves the 'NK Celje' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public betting patterns. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Examining these differences can be insightful for those interested in understanding the perceived value in various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Maribor vs NK Celje match, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also lead to price adjustments. Major announcements about team tactics or player availability are likely to cause volatility as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.