TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Navone vs Carreno Busta match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Navone vs Carreno Busta match as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Navone vs Carreno Busta match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about player fitness, tactical changes, or even weather forecasts could all lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence and move this market.