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410,482

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4,340

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5

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VS.

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Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu?

Volume:
$259,214

Mardin

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 2:52 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mardin

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98,100
N/A
N/A
$57,373
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mardin 1969 Spor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manisa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,899
N/A
N/A
$44,485
Settled
No
polymarket

Manisa Futbol Kulubu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,648
N/A
N/A
$36,539
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Mardin 1969 Spor and Manisa Futbol Kulubu, scheduled for October 26, 2026. Markets exist for Mardin winning, Manisa winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and use a similar hierarchy of data sources for determining the outcome.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (TFF.org).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as acceptable data is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's scheduled conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between Mardin 1969 Spor and Manisa Futbol Kulubu.

Kalshi

The event covers a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, between Mardin and Manisa. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Mardin, a win for Manisa, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the defined rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Turkish Second League match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $259,214, with $248,917 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of different results in this match. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive view of predictions for the Turkish Second League match, offering a combined perspective on potential outcomes.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the probability of an event. This market’s odds may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as real-time news or subtle shifts in team dynamics. Discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, prices for this market. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across different prediction market venues.