TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, rather than a single entity's opinion. The current price indicates the implied probability of each outcome, as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.