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Marc Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus: Method of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Marc Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus?

Volume:
$560,283

Marc Andre Barriault by KO/TKO/DQ

 - Kalshi

Marc Andre Barriault by KO/TKO/DQ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 9:24 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marc Andre Barriault by KO/TKO/DQ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$262,995
N/A
N/A
$180,989
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Daukaus by Submission

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,346
N/A
N/A
$115,221
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO/DQ

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,262
N/A
N/A
$84,943
Settled
No
kalshi

Marc Andre Barriault by Submission

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,286
N/A
N/A
$39,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Daukaus by Decision

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,893
N/A
N/A
$17,269
Settled
No
kalshi

Marc Andre Barriault by Decision

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,842
N/A
N/A
$14,674
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,659
N/A
N/A
$1,659
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a UFC fight between Marc Andre Barriault and Kyle Daukaus, focusing on how each fighter might win or if the match ends in a draw. Bettors can speculate on various victory methods, including knockout, submission, or decision, as well as potential inconclusive results.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the specific method by which either Marc Andre Barriault or Kyle Daukaus wins the UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for October 17, 2026, or if the fight ends in a draw or no contest. A win by knockout (KO)/technical knockout (TKO), submission, or decision by either fighter will resolve the respective markets to 'Yes.' If the fight ends without a clear winner—classified as a draw or no contest—the corresponding market will also resolve to 'Yes.' The outcome is determined solely by the official result declared by the governing authority of the event. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and differing opinions. While sportsbooks may initially have a stronger opinion, the prediction market can converge or diverge as more information becomes available and more people participate in trading. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event, as the market incorporates a wider range of perspectives.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Barriault vs Daukaus fight. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, injuries, or other relevant factors, dynamically adjusting the odds until the event takes place. The current volume suggests significant interest in this matchup.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of victory for the Barriault vs Daukaus fight, as determined by the relevant governing body for mixed martial arts. The outcome will be determined by whether Barriault wins by knockout, technical knockout, submission, decision, or if Daukaus wins by any of those same methods.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause shifts in the odds. Pre-fight press conferences and weigh-ins could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also play a role. Furthermore, general betting trends and analysis from MMA experts could move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions for the Barriault vs Daukaus fight.