TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how Marc Andre Barriault and Kyle Daukaus will conclude their UFC fight scheduled for October 17, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the fight ends in a knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or is declared a draw/no contest.
The market resolves to Yes if the fight between Marc Andre Barriault and Kyle Daukaus, scheduled for October 17, 2026, concludes via any valid result: knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), disqualification (DQ), submission, decision, or draw/no contest. Each possible method of finish is evaluated independently, and any one of these outcomes will trigger a Yes resolution. The market is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and differences can arise due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result declared by the relevant fighting organization will determine the winning outcome in this market. The method of finish – whether by knockout, submission, decision, or draw/no contest – will be the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions after the event concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also attract attention and impact the market. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could lead to reassessments of each fighter's chances, causing the odds to fluctuate. A significant shift in public opinion, even without concrete news, could also move this market.