TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Marc Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus: Method of Finish
kalshi

What is the result of Barriault vs Daukaus?

Volume:
$47,618

KO/TKO/DQ

 - Kalshi

KO/TKO/DQ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 9:24 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KO/TKO/DQ

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,399
N/A
N/A
$29,502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Submission

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,841
N/A
N/A
$5,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,674
N/A
N/A
$2,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$704
N/A
N/A
$531
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This market tracks how Marc Andre Barriault and Kyle Daukaus will conclude their UFC fight scheduled for October 17, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the fight ends in a knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or is declared a draw/no contest.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the fight between Marc Andre Barriault and Kyle Daukaus, scheduled for October 17, 2026, concludes via any valid result: knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), disqualification (DQ), submission, decision, or draw/no contest. Each possible method of finish is evaluated independently, and any one of these outcomes will trigger a Yes resolution. The market is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Barriault vs. Daukaus finish market displays the current odds for each possible method of victory, including knockout, submission, decision, and draw/no contest. It also provides a price history showing how those odds have changed over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $46,826. The total volume traded on this market is $47,618. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about how this fight will end, and the dashboard visualizes those predictions.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and differences can arise due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result declared by the relevant fighting organization will determine the winning outcome in this market. The method of finish – whether by knockout, submission, decision, or draw/no contest – will be the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions after the event concludes and the outcome is officially verified.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also attract attention and impact the market. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could lead to reassessments of each fighter's chances, causing the odds to fluctuate. A significant shift in public opinion, even without concrete news, could also move this market.