TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution rules for multiple markets (moneyline, over/unders, spread) with detailed handling of postponements, cancellations, and shootout scoring, while Kalshi's market description is incomplete and fails to specify any resolution logic, making it fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on the Kalshi market as presented—it lacks essential resolution criteria. If you must trade this event, rely on Polymarket's detailed rules for moneyline, totals, and spread markets, as Kalshi provides no guidance on postponements, cancellations, overtime, or shootout handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket provides complete, multi-market resolution framework covering moneyline (Maple Leafs vs. Senators), four over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread (Senators -1.5). Each market specifies postponement handling ('remain open until completed'), cancellation resolution ('resolve 50-50'), and shootout scoring ('one goal added to winning team'). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market description states only 'If TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If OTT Senators wins the Toronto at Ottawa professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes—and provides zero guidance on postponements, cancellations, overtime, or shootout handling, rendering the market unresolvable.
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