TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional Serie B soccer match between Mantova and Palermo. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude without a clear winner. The resolution depends strictly on the result after the full regulation time, excluding any extended periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Mantova vs Palermo Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Mantova market occurs if Mantova wins in regulation time; a 'Yes' for Palermo if Palermo wins in regulation; and a 'Yes' for Tie if the match ends level after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform. The operator emphasizes it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions as traders buy and sell contracts. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, creating a dynamic environment where prices adjust based on new information and changing sentiment. This mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mantova vs Palermo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to cause fluctuations in the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.