TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Mantova 1911 and Virtus Entella will compete in a Serie B professional soccer match on April 6, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This audit synthesizes three distinct market structures across Polymarket and Kalshi to establish unified settlement criteria.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 6, 2026, using the same primary source (official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie B (legaserieb.it) or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if Mantova 1911 wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if Virtus Entella wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Exactly one of these three outcomes will occur and resolve to YES; the other two resolve to NO.
- Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and then resolve based on the actual result.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's markets would resolve based on the cancellation outcome as a tie scenario.
- Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official Lega Serie B statistics. If these are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 6, 2026, with final settlement based on official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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