TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Mansfield and Oxford United, focusing on determining whether either team wins or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides a clear framework for resolving outcomes based on the match's immediate conclusion.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Mansfield vs Oxford United professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 15, 2026: a win for Mansfield, a win for Oxford United, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and potentially creating an arbitrage opportunity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Mansfield vs Oxford United match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the Mansfield vs Oxford United match. Higher volume generally suggests greater conviction and liquidity.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mansfield vs Oxford United match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and officially settle all outstanding positions. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 15, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Mansfield or Oxford United would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding team tactics, weather conditions, or even managerial decisions could influence the perceived probabilities and move the market. Major news events related to either team will likely be reflected in the trading activity.