TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:19 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade against it, driving the prediction market price closer to what they perceive as the true probability. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mansfield Town vs. Oxford United match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the match, with any potential overtime or penalty shootouts factored in as applicable, according to standard football rules. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 15, 2026.