TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Mansfield Town FC and Oxford United FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mansfield Town FC" if Mansfield Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Oxford United FC" if Oxford United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Mansfield Town FC and Oxford United FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mansfield Town FC" if Mansfield Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Oxford United FC" if Oxford United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might suggest the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and fluctuations are normal.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Mansfield Town or Oxford United will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead. This creates a market-driven forecast, distinct from pre-match analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match between Mansfield Town and Oxford United. The official match report will serve as the determining factor. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mansfield Town or Oxford United would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first.