TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:22 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 31 at 11:00 AM ET.
More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 31 at 11:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Polymarket in a different direction. This can lead to opportunities for arbitrage, where informed traders profit from the discrepancies between the two types of markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders acting on their own research, analysis, and information. The current price of a share represents the market's collective assessment of the outcome's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mansfield Town vs. Notts County match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or significant tactical adjustments announced before kickoff could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or public sentiment shifts, driven by media coverage, could all contribute to changes in the market price.