TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Manresa and Sant Andreu in the first round of the Copa del Rey, a prestigious Spanish tournament. The result determines which team progresses to the next stage of the competition based on their performance in the match.
If Manresa advance past Sant Andreu in the Manresa vs Sant Andreu soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sant Andreu advance past Manresa in the Manresa vs Sant Andreu soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both sets of odds can provide a broader perspective on the anticipated result of the Manresa vs Sant Andreu match, and highlight areas where the crowd diverges from expert opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Manresa vs Sant Andreu match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium point. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they’ll bid up the price of its corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time estimation of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Manresa vs Sant Andreu match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Manresa or Sant Andreu, changes in team form or tactical approaches, and significant shifts in public opinion. Unexpected announcements, such as changes to the match schedule or venue, could also impact prices. Even broader factors like weather conditions or major upsets in related matches could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.