TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Mannheim vs Ingolstadt
kalshi

Mannheim vs Ingolstadt

Volume:
$70,146

Ingolstadt

 - Kalshi

Ingolstadt - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 2:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ingolstadt

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,192
N/A
N/A
$9,598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mannheim

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,643
N/A
N/A
$16,605
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,311
N/A
N/A
$8,757
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third tier between Mannheim and Ingolstadt. Bettors can speculate on whether Mannheim, Ingolstadt, or neither (a tie) will win the match after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends purely on the final score at the end of normal time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mannheim vs Ingolstadt professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Mannheim wins, the 'Mannheim' market resolves to Yes. If Ingolstadt wins, the 'Ingolstadt' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Mannheim vs Ingolstadt match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $65,768. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how the market is interpreting the likelihood of different results. It's a central hub for monitoring activity and understanding the collective prediction.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Mannheim vs Ingolstadt match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Currently, the most favored outcome, according to Kalshi, is Mannheim wins, though the implied probabilities are constantly fluctuating based on trading activity and new information surrounding the match.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mannheim vs Ingolstadt match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 14, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Mannheim or Ingolstadt would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift the perceived probabilities. Any significant news related to team morale, training updates, or pre-match analysis could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price swings as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.